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Market News

Trump’s Odds Soar to 64% After Biden Debate Performance

Polymarket shows Biden under 70% for Democratic nominee, with Newsom at 17% and Michelle Obama at 7%.

Written By:
Dishita Malvania

Reviewed By:
Dhara Chavda

Last updated: June 28, 2024 8:08 PM
Published 2024-06-28
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Trump's Odds Soar to 64% After Biden Debate Performance

Blockchain bettors showed doubt over President Biden’s performance in the first debate of the 2024 election cycle, pushing former President Trump’s winning odds to 64%. 

A significant betting contract on the 2024 election outcome holds nearly $191 million, with Trump securing around $23 million and Biden about $21 million. Polymarket experienced a brief downtime at the debate’s start due to a surge in traffic.

Scaling our database now, back in a moment

The traffic we are getting is INSANE

Apologies

— Polymarket (@Polymarket) June 28, 2024

Market sentiment reflects growing skepticism about Biden’s chances of making it to election day. Polymarket indicates Biden has less than a 70% chance of being the Democratic nominee, while California Governor Gavin Newsom has climbed to 7% and Michelle Obama to 5%.

Presidential Election Winner 2024
Image Source: Polymarket

A contract speculating if Biden would drop out of the race surged to 43% during the debate.

Both major tokens tied to Trump and Biden fell significantly, according to PoliFi token traders. CoinGecko data shows the MAGA token (TRUMP) down 11.4%, the BODEN token down 47.6%, the TREMP token down 7.3%, and the DJT token, recently linked to Barron Trump, down 3%. 

Despite crypto becoming a Republican campaign issue, it wasn’t mentioned in this debate. A Polymarket contract on whether Trump would mention crypto or Bitcoin rated the likelihood at only 6%.

Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was not invited to the debate, but his special broadcast on X, where he responded to the debate’s questions, garnered 5.6 million views on the social media platform.

Other than that there is one more betting going on whether Trump will win Miami or not. Currently, it is 56% in favor of Trump. Ahead of the November 2024 elections, people are betting huge on it. Let’s see how debate dynamics can sway the blockchain bets!!

Also Read: Kraken CEO Jesse Powell Donates $1M in Crypto to Trump

Disclaimer: The information researched and reported by The Crypto Times is for informational purposes only and is not a substitute for professional financial advice. Investing in crypto assets involves significant risk due to market volatility. Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified Financial Advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Dishita Malvania - Senior crypto journalist at The Crypto Times
By Dishita Malvania
Follow:
Dishita Malvania is a Crypto Journalist with 3 years of experience covering the evolving landscape of blockchain, Web3, AI, finance, and B2B tech. With a background in Computer Science and Digital Media, she blends technical knowledge with sharp editorial insight. Dishita reports on key developments in the crypto world—including Litecoin, WazirX, Solana, Cardano, and broader blockchain trends—alongside interviews with notable figures in the space. Her work has been referenced by top digital media outlets like Entrepreneur.com, The Independent, The Verge, and Metro.co, especially on trending topics like Elon Musk, memecoins, Trump, and notable rug pulls.
Dhara Chavda- Crypto Research Analyst at The Crypto Times
By Dhara Chavda
Follow:
Dhara Chavda is a Content Strategist and Research Analyst with 5 years of experience in the crypto industry. She holds a Bachelor’s degree in Computer Engineering and brings a strong technical perspective to her work. Dhara specializes in DeFi, price analysis, and the core mechanics of cryptocurrencies. She also works on crypto news, including research, analysis, and assigning stories, ensuring accurate and timely coverage of key developments in the space.

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