Key Highlights
- BTC briefly hit a three-week high of $93,323 after the US captured Venezuela’s Maduro, marking a surge amid geopolitical uncertainty.
- Bitcoin gains supported by crypto-focused buying, with $94K resistance and $88K support, says Sean McNulty of FalconX.
- Venezuela may hold 600,000+ BTC (~$56–$67B) via gold swaps and USDT oil deals, though unverified.
Bitcoin (BTC) moved higher on Monday as markets reacted to fast-moving political developments in Venezuela and a generally positive tone across global assets.
The world’s largest cryptocurrency climbed to a three-week high, briefly touching $93,323 during early Asian trading before easing slightly.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading near $92,506, up about 1.27% over the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. Its market capitalization stood at roughly $1.84 trillion, keeping Bitcoin firmly at the top of the crypto market.
The price action came in the aftermath of news of the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro by the United States over the weekend.
It marked another piece of geopolitical uncertainty added at a time when markets are already adjusting to the overall highly uncertain global environment. Although long-term implications are still unknown, market attention was certainly drawn.
Bitcoin has shown resilience during previous geopolitical tensions. In June 2025, it fell about 4% to $103,000 after Iran–Israel tensions caused a risk-off mood.
Wider market moves
Political tension often makes investors rethink where to put their money. Bitcoin sometimes benefits in such times, though its safe-haven role is debated. Modest inflows suggested interest rather than panic. Ether and other major cryptocurrencies also rose, showing broader crypto market confidence.
Asian stocks gained strongly. Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped nearly 3%, while South Korea and Taiwan hit record highs. Optimism around technology and AI helped equities shrug off geopolitical risks. US stock futures were slightly higher, signaling a steady start to the week.
Safe-haven assets saw strong demand. Gold rose above $4,400 an ounce, while silver jumped sharply. Investors appear to be balancing risk with protection.
Oil markets were mixed. Crude prices fluctuated as traders assessed US actions in Venezuela and OPEC+’s decision to maintain production levels. Analysts said Venezuela’s oil output is unlikely to rise quickly, though long-term political uncertainty could keep energy markets volatile.
What’s driving BTC now
Bitcoin’s recent gains are mainly driven by crypto-focused firms buying, while large holders—including mining operations, wealthy investors, and funds—have largely stayed on the sidelines. Recent inflows into US-listed Bitcoin ETFs also indicate cautious optimism among investors.
Traders are watching key technical levels. $94,000 is resistance, and $88,000 is support. Price action is currently range-bound, though volatility could rise if geopolitical tensions increase.
According to a Bloomberg report, Sean McNulty, APAC derivatives trading lead at FalconX, said the lack of selling from major holders is supporting Bitcoin’s upward momentum. He noted that traders are focused on the $94,000 breakout, while $88,000 remains the key downside.
Venezuela’s alleged Bitcoin reserve
Crypto commentator Serenity claims Venezuela may have quietly built a large Bitcoin reserve over several years. Alleged accumulation came via gold swaps, oil sales in USDT, and domestic mining seizures.
According to BitcoinTreasuries, Venezuela publicly holds around 240 BTC, valued at about $22 million. The Venezuelan regime reportedly used USDT for oil transactions and converted some of it into Bitcoin due to fears that stablecoin accounts could be frozen. Recent political events make the future of these assets uncertain.
If the US seizes or freezes this Bitcoin, it would be tied up in legal processes, reducing the available supply without necessarily causing immediate selling.
Today, the price of Bitcoin is influenced more by supply rather than news. Short-term market conditions may cause fluctuation, but long-term market trends are driven by the quantity of Bitcoin that is locked away. As yet, there are no signs of panic sales.
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