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Market News

Trump Bets Drive Polymarket to Record $116 Million in July

The surge is driven by the upcoming US presidential election, attracting $263.5 million in Polymarket bets.

Written By:
Dishita Malvania

Reviewed By:
Dhara Chavda

Last updated: July 17, 2024 3:58 PM
Published 2024-07-17
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Last updated: July 17, 2024 3:58 PM
Published 2024-07-17
Trump Bets Drive Polymarket to Record $116 Million in July

A crypto prediction platform Polymarket has shattered its records this July. With an astonishing $116.4 million in trading volume within the first two weeks alone, this month has outpaced all previous months in Polymarket’s history, including June’s $111.5 million peak.

The driving force behind this unprecedented surge? The upcoming United States presidential election. Political pundits and speculative traders alike have flocked to Polymarket, collectively wagering an astounding $263.5 million on the outcome of the November 4th election.

Currently, the odds favor former President Donald Trump, commanding a 69% chance of victory among Polymarket’s prediction traders. In a distant second is incumbent President Joe Biden at 19%, followed by Kamala Harris at 6%, and former First Lady Michelle Obama at a mere 2%.

Since the beginning of the year, Polymarket has seen a staggering $471.9 million in bets across various events encompassing politics, finance, sports, and crypto. The platform’s influence has even extended to expert analysis, with election analyst Nate Silver reportedly joining as an advisor. 

According to a recent Axios report, Silver emphasizes that prediction markets offer more than just financial speculation; they provide valuable insights into public sentiment during social and political turbulence.

As Polymarket continues to captivate both seasoned traders and curious observers alike, its role in deciphering the pulse of public opinion remains pivotal. With each trade placed, the platform reflects and shapes the narrative surrounding key global events, making it a cornerstone of informed decision-making in an increasingly uncertain world.

Also Read: Trump’s Election Odds Soar After Assassination Attempt: Polymarket

Disclaimer: The information researched and reported by The Crypto Times is for informational purposes only and is not a substitute for professional financial advice. Investing in crypto assets involves significant risk due to market volatility. Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified Financial Advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Dishita Malvania - Senior crypto journalist at The Crypto Times
By Dishita Malvania
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Dishita Malvania is a Crypto Journalist with 3 years of experience covering the evolving landscape of blockchain, Web3, AI, finance, and B2B tech. With a background in Computer Science and Digital Media, she blends technical knowledge with sharp editorial insight. Dishita reports on key developments in the crypto world—including Litecoin, WazirX, Solana, Cardano, and broader blockchain trends—alongside interviews with notable figures in the space. Her work has been referenced by top digital media outlets like Entrepreneur.com, The Independent, The Verge, and Metro.co, especially on trending topics like Elon Musk, memecoins, Trump, and notable rug pulls.
Dhara Chavda- Crypto Research Analyst at The Crypto Times
By Dhara Chavda
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Dhara Chavda is a Content Strategist and Research Analyst with 5 years of experience in the crypto industry. She holds a Bachelor’s degree in Computer Engineering and brings a strong technical perspective to her work. Dhara specializes in DeFi, price analysis, and the core mechanics of cryptocurrencies. She also works on crypto news, including research, analysis, and assigning stories, ensuring accurate and timely coverage of key developments in the space.

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