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Market News

Crypto Market Underestimates Bitcoin Halving’s Impact: Bitwise

Written By Ezra Kaimenyi
Published 2024-04-17·Updated 2 years ago
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The highly anticipated Bitcoin halving is just days away, but Bitwise Asset Management warns that the crypto market may be underestimating its long-term impact. Bitwise Asset Management points out that historically, the much-anticipated Bitcoin Halving set for April 20 often ends in disappointment.

Analysts suggest that the previous halving shows a trend of price decrease in the month following the event. The past three halving events have seen a similar pattern: a price drop immediately after the event, followed by a surge in price the following year.

For instance, during the 2012 halving, the asset’s price gained only 9%, but it increased by a staggering 8,839% the next year.

Historically, the Halving Has Been Good for Bitcoin’s Price Long-Term (a Look at the Data)

The change in bitcoin’s price in the year following the halving:

2012: 8,839%
2016: 285%
2020: 548%

The change in bitcoin’s price in the month following the halving:

2012: 9%
2016: -10%… pic.twitter.com/aaXSakLfko

— Bitwise (@BitwiseInvest) April 16, 2024

The 2016 halving followed a comparable sequence. Bitcoin’s price fell 10% the month after the event but skyrocketed to $20,000 in 2017. In 2020, Bitcoin surged 6% in the post-halving month before climbing 548% the following year to reach a record high of $69k.

According to Rekt Capital, the market has currently corrected by 16%, suggesting a potential for further decline amid five significant pullback corrections. Moreover, another analyst, Cold Blooded Shiller, noted that 30% corrections are not uncommon, hinting that Bitcoin could potentially drop to around $51,000 despite these short-term price predictions.

Also Read: Bitcoin Users to Increase Following Fourth Halving

Disclaimer: The information researched and reported by The Crypto Times is for informational purposes only and is not a substitute for professional financial advice. Investing in crypto assets involves significant risk due to market volatility. Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified Financial Advisor before making any investment decisions.

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