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Bitcoin News

Will Bitcoin Price Crash Again?

After reaching new all-time highs, Bitcoin shows signs of a short-term correction to rebalance its overleveraged futures market.

Written By Jalpa Bhavsar
Fact Checked by Jahnu Jagtap
Published 2024-11-16·Updated 2 years ago
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Will Bitcoin Price Crash Again

Bitcoin’s recent price correction, which saw a 6% drop between November 13 and 15, has sparked discussions about whether it could face a deeper crash.

The decline occurred after Bitcoin surpassed its previous all-time high of $73,880, reaching new heights above $91,000. Despite this pullback, Bitcoin has maintained a higher high and higher low pattern, indicating continued bullish momentum as long as it stays above the $85,000 range on the daily chart.

Liquidity Sweep at $85,000

Bitcoin remains resilient despite its recent dip, maintaining a higher high and higher low pattern on hourly charts and staying above key moving averages (50-day, 100-day, and 200-day). This bullish momentum has held steady since November 5, signaling overall market strength.

Bitcoin 1hour chart
Bitcoin 1hour chart, Source: TradingView

Analyst Bluntz suggests the current pullback to $87,000 could be the final low before Bitcoin targets $100,000. A liquidity sweep near $85,500 might solidify support, paving the way for continued upward momentum.

Overleveraged Markets

Bitcoin faces a potential challenge if it fails to maintain a daily close above $85,000, as overleveraged positions in the futures market increase the risk of a deeper correction. 

CryptoQuant CEO Ki-Young Ju noted on November 13 that the estimated futures leverage ratio for Bitcoin/USDT pairs has reached a record high of 270%, surpassing its previous peak from May 2024.

Bitcoin futures leverage ratio for USDT pairs
Bitcoin futures leverage ratio for USDT pairs, Source: CryptoQuant

Compounding this risk, Bitcoin’s open interest levels have also reached all-time highs, signaling a significant volume of leveraged positions. Additionally, the lack of historical trading activity above $73,884—where Bitcoin has been trading for less than 10 days—creates thin spot order book support and resistance, further complicating price stability in this range.

Bitcoin trading volume
Bitcoin trading volume, Source: CryptoQuant

CoinGlass data reveals a key liquidation zone around $85,750, where over $127 million in leveraged positions could be wiped out. This makes a liquidity sweep of the $85,000 level likely, potentially providing the foundation for a price rebound if buyers step in. However, the thin market conditions and high leverage remain critical concerns that could exacerbate volatility.

Bitcoin’s bullish momentum hinges on holding above $85,000, but overleveraged markets and thin support above $73,880 increase the risk of a deeper correction. The coming days will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin stabilizes or declines further.

Also Read: U.S. to Acquire 1 Million Bitcoins in 5 Years: Cynthia Lummis Bitcoin Act

Disclaimer: The information researched and reported by The Crypto Times is for informational purposes only and is not a substitute for professional financial advice. Investing in crypto assets involves significant risk due to market volatility. Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified Financial Advisor before making any investment decisions.

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